Finance 101



我的Finance不算很強,但我清清楚楚記得當年MBA的第一堂Finance課,Professor第一樣教我們的Finance 101,就是“Maximizing shareholders' value”。今天看了中信泰富的新聞,回家後禁不住把塵封了的Finance課本再拿來看,Chapter 1的第一段這麽寫著:

“... one of financial management's most useful guiding principles: 

Managers should manage their firm's resources with the objective of increasing the firm's market value. 

This may seem to be an on obvious statement.  But you probably know a number of companies that are not managed to their full potential value.  You may even know well-intentioned managers who are value destroyers.  Their mis-guided actions, or lack of actions, actually reduce the value of the firms. ”

(Finance for Executives/Hawawini & Viallet/Thomson South-Western/3rd Edition/2007)

今年三月在新加坡上課,那位Finance的Professor用General Motors做例子,恥笑他們就是destroying shareholders' value的最佳例子,因爲當時General Motors的股價已經跌至五十年來最低;當然一山還有一山低,這邊廂中信泰富一天内股價暴跌55%,時光倒流十七年,我認爲如果中信泰富有五十年歷史,隨時可與General Motors看齊。那巨額輸掉了的150億港幣,等於中信泰富的一半市值,或者興建兩條青馬大橋(當時造價72億),或幾乎足夠興建港島西以及港島南地鐵綫(預計89億+70億),你說誇張不誇張?

這次爆煲事件充分反映中信泰富其實與family run的中小企無異:
1. 東窗事發後六個星期才公佈,小股東的知情權在何?
2. 滿朝皇親國戚(當然CITIC並非市場唯一),事後還可繼續留低
3. 作風隨便,風險意識全無,accumulator可以隨便玩
4. 幸好還有個富爸爸,兒子投資失利,隨時有過百億幫個仔渡過難關

凡炒股票的都知道風險與回報,股價升跌也是fact of life,就算買藍籌股也沒有穩賺必贏的一回事(8號仔為最深刻範例),小股民可以怎樣?除了哭,還可以怎樣!又不可以學雷曼苦主說自己給誤導,只怪自己沒有帶眼識人,信錯了姓榮姓范的,他朝見到他們依舊風騷馳騁於馬場Ball場,千萬不要學黃毓民掟蕉,否則隨時賠完股票再輸官司。記住,雙失中年,無人可憐!

(註:本人沒有持有任何中信泰富股票)
 
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